Good morning bloggers,

The temperatures dipped into the 50s again this morning.  It would be difficult to find another stretch of August weather that is this nice, day after day after day.  Here were the 7 AM temperatures near KC this morning:

High pressure is settling over Chicago today, and the sinking air causing a large area of 100% sunshine and light winds today will make it a near perfect day in many areas.

The “heat wave creating machine” anticyclone is over the southwestern United States and it is dominating the pattern.  The jet stream is just now beginning to gradually strengthen after reaching its weakest strength and farthest north average position earlier this month.  The jet stream strengthens in response to colder air masses developing as the sun is descending and setting over the North Pole on the Autumnal Equinox later in September.   The sun sets at the North Pole on that day, and this is likely what triggers the true beginning of the new LRC.  Right now we are in the same pattern for just another six weeks or so.

Hurricane Genevieve is south of Baja, CA and off the west coast of Mexico. This will produce some bands of heavy rain over Cabo San Lucas, and possibly some high surf coming into Southern California beaches in a few days.  It will weaken rapidly in a couple of days, but right now it is still fairly strong.

Rainfall Next 15 Days (GFS Model):

It will be a struggle do get it to rain in KC for a while.  And, it has only reached 90 degrees one day this month.  The lowest number of 90 degree days in August is four days. There are 12 days left in the month, so this is something to monitor.

Have a great day!


Gary Lezak

Author Gary Lezak

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Join the discussion 11 Comments

  • Hume Dude says:

    this is such a weird pattern, and I have never seen anything like this that’s for sure. Its a drought pattern of sorts for some, but its so cool that the effects aren’t that intense. I don’t think I have had a single 2″ rain since March, a few in the 1″ range but literally haven’t had a big flood event type rain all year and had just enough to make it. The rain in late July really helped the soybeans, they are mostly doing quite well but need some rain for the pods soon. Pasture is still green now but drying up fast.
    I haven’t heard much in the way of national attention for the farmers in Iowa, they got absolutely devastated by that Derecho. I wonder if help is ever going to arrive for them. Made me wonder when was the last actual Derecho we had in the KC region? Its been quite some time, possibly 10 years or so and it was a weaker one. Odd, as I saw a climatological map that indicated we average 1 derecho a year. Hogwash. We don’t get many around here, seems like upper Midwest into rust belt gets them the worst. It had Joplin area averaging 3 derechos every 4 years, a very odd way to express their frequency.

    • Gary Lezak says:

      Yes, Iowa got blasted hard by that derecho event. And, southwest Missouri is the bullseye of this dry region where you haven’t had a direct hit by an MCS, whereas most areas have had at least a couple of them. The cooler August is helping.

      • Heat Mizer says:

        Hey Gary, how would you define a derecho? I’ve looked it up online, and it basically says is a series of microbursts? Is that right? What causes a derecho to be such a big event in terms of miles long, as opposed to a microburst with I understand to be basically a collapsing t-storm. Is a derecho not a hundreds of miles long event, but instead a series of smaller events, in between which there might be nothing…are there gaps in the derecho? I was trying to explain this to folks at work asking me, when I realized I couldn’t. lol

        • Gary Lezak says:

          A derecho is a long duration Damaging wind event that develops on the leading edge of strengthening complexes of thunderstorms. Dozens of thunderstorms will organize on the leading edge creating A long gust front that bows out due to the strong winds. We have had some cross KC and these types of events impact large areas, as opposed to a microburst or tornado which are much smaller and often last 30 minutes or less.

  • Go Pack Go says:

    I guess the left wing media only covers the destruction, not the fact that an emergency declaration came from the White House. Over 90% of the affected farmers have taxpayer-funded crop insurance that will cover the crops lost (from the Iowa Soybean Association). If they don’t have homeowners/farm insurance to cover their buildings and other personal property, then shame on them. “I wonder if help is ever going to arrive for them.” It’s obvious which party you’re with. These are strong, Midwestern people who will pull together and rebuild. There is also an extremely strong church presence there that will continue to assist. Thousands of people have gone to Iowa to help with the cleanup.

  • sierravista says:

    Gary, nothing to do with the weather, but would you mind telling me what kind of dog food you use? We just got a new pup and are struggling to find the best. The vet was really not a ton of help. He said it really didn’t matter all that much what kind. We just want to do the best for her. Do you use only dry or dry and wet and what brand? Thanks in advance!

    • Gary Lezak says: Nature’s select dog food us the best. Rainbow was on the puppy formula for the first year. Sunny and her are so healthy and love it.

      • sierravista says:

        Wow, thank you so much! We’ve never even heard of it, but we’re on it! And they deliver too. We’ll be ordering. Hopefully she will grow up to be just as healthy as Sunny and Rainbow.

    • Nicholas Rau says:

      Actually the thing with the White House was fairly recent, the point they were making is that in the few days afterward, they weren’t getting attention that some thought they should, since most people don’t know what a derecho is, at least captain cheeto didn’t throw paper towels at them, or try to sharpie it to Alabama. I wonder if California will get the same benefits, or just be chastised for not raking their forests again.

  • Urbanity says:

    We’ve still got about a month to go before noticeably cooler temps start to filter in. I wouldn’t be surprised if KC hits 95 before then, especially with dry weather around. I can see us hitting a 100 next week here in central Kansas and with slightly drier air KC nipping 95. I wonder if the smoke plume particles will trap any heat in the coming week? I remember K-State vs Iowa at Arrowhead many years back in late August, first game of college season, our great punt returner (Brown?, can’t remember his name now) severely hurt his ankle in that game, but it was 95 degrees that day and felt like 120 in Arrowhead.

  • Brian Watson says:

    Perfect weather year in Kansas City. Best since I moved here when I was 13 in the beginning of 95. Of every year was like this would never want to leave.