This morning, the WPC is using a general model blend from coast to coast, however, the GFS is given less weight due to some convective feedback issues.  The WPC has average to slightly above average confidence in the forecast.  This model blend can be seen in the NWS/NDFD forecast data.

I continue to use a blend of the ECMWF, EPS, and HRRR guidance, which thus far has continued to perform well in this weather pattern.  Confidence in the forecast is average to above average.

Steven DiMartino

Author Steven DiMartino

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